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Mining is an energy business that speaks in coins.

Bitcoin mining difficulty projected to fall about 7.8%

How much could the next difficulty adjustment change mining conditions? In a report published November 12, 2026, Jinse Finance cited Mempool data projecting a roughly 7.8% drop that weekend—the largest decline since June. The adjustment was a forecast, not a completed change.

A lower difficulty would make blocks easier to mine and could improve rewards per unit of hashrate for miners that remain online. The report also noted speculation that some miners were shutting down equipment and shifting electricity and facility capacity toward AI computing. It did not establish that this was the cause of the projected decline.

Original report: Jinse Finance, published November 12, 2026, at 19:13:20 (UTC+08:00).

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